actually accumulate derivatives when estimating milestones and final loss by using half of the log

src/utils.py

@@ -805,20 +805,27 @@ class TrainingState():
 				self.metrics['loss'].append(f'Loss: {"{:.3f}".format(self.losses[-1]["value"])}')
 
 			if len(self.losses) >= 2:
-				# i can probably do a """riemann sum""" to get a better derivative, but the instantaneous one works fine
-				d1_loss = self.losses[-1]["value"]
-				d2_loss = self.losses[-2]["value"]
-				dloss = d2_loss - d1_loss
-				
-				d1_step = self.losses[-1]["step"]
-				d2_step = self.losses[-2]["step"]
-				dstep = d2_step - d1_step
-
-				# don't bother if the loss went up
-				if True: # dloss < 0:
-					its_remain = self.its - self.it
+				# """riemann sum""" but not really as this is for derivatives and not integrals
+				deriv = 0
+				accum_length = len(self.losses)//2 # i *guess* this is fine when you think about it
+				for i in range(accum_length):
+					d1_loss = self.losses[-i-1]["value"]
+					d2_loss = self.losses[-i-2]["value"]
+					dloss = (d2_loss - d1_loss)
+
+					d1_step = self.losses[-i-1]["step"]
+					d2_step = self.losses[-i-2]["step"]
+					dstep = (d2_step - d1_step)
+
+					if dstep == 0:
+						continue
+			
 					inst_deriv = dloss / dstep
+					deriv += inst_deriv
+
+				deriv = deriv / accum_length
 
+				if deriv != 0: # dloss < 0:
 					next_milestone = None
 					for milestone in self.loss_milestones:
 						if d1_loss > milestone:
@@ -827,11 +834,14 @@ class TrainingState():
 
 					if next_milestone:
 						# tfw can do simple calculus but not basic algebra in my head
-						est_its = (next_milestone - d1_loss) * (dstep / dloss)
-						self.metrics['loss'].append(f'Est. milestone {next_milestone} in: {int(est_its)}its')
+						est_its = (next_milestone - d1_loss) / deriv
+						print("Estimated iteration to next milestone", est_its)
+						if est_its >= 0:
+							self.metrics['loss'].append(f'Est. milestone {next_milestone} in: {int(est_its)}its')
 					else:
-						est_loss = inst_deriv * its_remain + d1_loss
-						self.metrics['loss'].append(f'Est. final loss: {"{:.3f}".format(est_loss)}')
+						est_loss = inst_deriv * (self.its - self.it) + d1_loss
+						if est_loss >= 0:
+							self.metrics['loss'].append(f'Est. final loss: {"{:.3f}".format(est_loss)}')
 
 			self.metrics['loss'] = ", ".join(self.metrics['loss'])